Industrials businesses quietly power the physical things we depend on, from cars and homes to e-commerce infrastructure. They are also bound to benefit from a friendlier regulatory environment with the Trump administration, and this excitement has led to a six-month gain of 21.8% for the sector - higher than the S&P 500’s 16% return.
Nevertheless, investors must be mindful as the cycle can unexpectedly turn. When this inevitably happens, only the elite companies will survive and ultimately thrive. On that note, here is one industrials stock poised to generate sustainable market-beating returns and two that may face trouble.
Two Industrials Stocks to Sell:
Dover (DOV)
Market Cap: $23.95 billion
A company that manufactured critical equipment for the United States military during World War II, Dover (NYSE:DOV) manufactures engineered components and specialized equipment for numerous industries.
Why Do We Pass on DOV?
- Core business is underperforming as its organic revenue has disappointed over the past two years, suggesting it might need acquisitions to stimulate growth
- Earnings growth over the last two years fell short of the peer group average as its EPS only increased by 3.2% annually
- Shrinking returns on capital suggest that increasing competition is eating into the company’s profitability
At $174.70 per share, Dover trades at 17.8x forward P/E. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including DOV in your portfolio.
Global Industrial (GIC)
Market Cap: $1.44 billion
Formerly known as Systemax, Global Industrial (NYSE:GIC) distributes industrial and commercial products to businesses and institutions.
Why Is GIC Risky?
- Annual revenue growth of 6.9% over the last two years was below our standards for the industrials sector
- Earnings per share fell by 2.3% annually over the last two years while its revenue grew, showing its incremental sales were much less profitable
- Eroding returns on capital suggest its historical profit centers are aging
Global Industrial is trading at $37.52 per share, or 21.7x forward P/E. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than GIC.
One Industrials Stock to Buy:
Graham Corporation (GHM)
Market Cap: $521.4 million
Founded when its founder patented a unique design for a vacuum system used in the sugar refining process, Graham (NYSE:GHM) provides vacuum and heat transfer equipment for the energy, petrochemical, refining, and chemical sectors.
Why Do We Love GHM?
- Average backlog growth of 21.7% over the past two years shows it has a steady sales pipeline that will drive future orders
- Operating profits and efficiency rose over the last five years as it benefited from some fixed cost leverage
- Additional sales over the last two years increased its profitability as the 145% annual growth in its earnings per share outpaced its revenue
Graham Corporation’s stock price of $47.50 implies a valuation ratio of 27.3x forward EV-to-EBITDA. Is now the right time to buy? See for yourself in our comprehensive research report, it’s free.
High-Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions
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